Instapundit reports that Amit Varma of India Uncut has a piece in the Asian Wall Street Journal today. For the benefit of non-subscribers, Varma has the full text available on his blog.
In his piece, Varma comes down pretty skeptically on India fabled market liberalization -
Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh is due to visit Washington in a few weeks, and editorialists and commentators have already started writing about the emerging economic power of India. New Delhis decision to start liberalizing its economy in 1991 is touted as a seminal event in Indias history, the moment when it threw off the shackles of Fabian socialism and embraced free markets. It is the stuff of myth--and to a large extent, it is exactly that.He cites a study which was undoubtedly inspired by a favorite book of mine - Hernando De Soto's Mystery of Capital. Varma notes -
Entrepreneurs can expect to go through 11 steps to launch a business over 89 days on average, at a cost equal to 49.5% of gross national income per capita. Contrast the figure of 89 days with two days for Australia, eight for Singapore and 24 for neighboring Pakistan....In Bombay, for example, an urban land ceiling act and a rent-control act make it virtually impossible for poor migrants to rent or buy homes, and they are forced into extralegal housing. The vast shantytowns of Bombay--one of them, Dharavi, is the biggest slum in Asia--hold, by some estimates, more than $2 billion of dead capital.
Varma fingers the 2 usual suspects -
The socialist left... believes that free markets are the problem and not the solution. Indias communist parties have blocked labor reform, opposed foreign investment and prevented privatization of public-sector units....The Hindu right wing, led by the Bharatiya Janata Party and collectively known as the Sangh Parivar, also fears globalization. Its sustenance comes from identity politics, the impact of which is diluted by the opening up of the cultural mindspace to foreign influences. If people are busy chasing prosperity and gaining Western liberal values, they will naturally have less time to focus on the Hindu identity, and suchlike.
Although I generally agree with Varma you could still find room to call me a naive optimist. Free markets & their products will eventually "trickle down" into the Desi core. The same Bombay slums Verma speaks of - where phone lines, clean water and electricity are pathetically scarce - are also famously home to cellphones & satellite dishes peppering their aluminum sheet roofs.
The difference, of course, is that the latter case, objects which a scant 10 yrs ago were the exclusive purview of the wealthy elite are now mass consumer products and were produced by the market. In the former case, goods & services produced by the state.
And it's precisely within those market products that I see the core of the snowball. The boob tube - for all the disdain hoisted upon it by elite cultural commentators - is also a force for breaking the back of ignorance and the well of low expectations. Once accustomed to bribe-free, reliable, caste-no-bar cellphone service it's only natural that folks start to ask why this isn't the case for other goods & services - state or non-state.




