By now most people have heard about the U.S. airstrike in a remote section of Pakistan on Friday. Immediately after the airstrike of a house where a dinner party (which may have been celebrating Eid al-Adha) was taking place, there were whispers that that among the dead may have been Al Qaeda’s number two himself, Ayman al-Zawahiri, who was the intended target. By yesterday morning officials were saying that the initial missile (probably launched by an unmanned Predator) must have just missed his departure, or perhaps he hadn’t shown up yet. Today all hell has broken loose:
U.S. television networks CNN and ABC cited sources saying that unmanned U.S. drones had fired missiles at the village of Damadola, some 200 kilometers northwest of Islamabad. Their target: top Al-Qaeda figures believed to be in the area, including Osama bin Laden’s No. 2, Ayman al-Zawahiri.
Those reports said it’s possible al-Zawahiri was killed in the strike. If officially confirmed, al-Zawahiri would be the most senior Al-Qaeda figure captured or killed so far.
However, unnamed senior officials in Pakistan told Reuters and AP that al-Zawahiri was not present at the site of the attack.
And angry villagers in Damadola have also denied al-Zawahiri was there and thousands were today protesting the strike in a nearby town. [Link]
Later came came confirmation that al-Zawahiri never showed up:
Al-Qaida’s No. 2 leader was invited to dinner at one of the houses struck by a purported CIA airstrike on a Pakistani border village, but he did not show up, a newspaper and intelligence officials said Sunday…On Sunday, the Dawn newspaper quoted unidentified senior Pakistani officials as saying al-Zawahri had been asked to dinner in Damadola along with two clerics…
A Pakistani intelligence official said al-Zawahri might have been in the area to meet with his wife, who is from the Mahmoond tribe that is predominant there, for last week’s Muslim holiday of Eid al-Adha. [Link]
This strike marks the most visible instance where the U.S. has undeniably violated Pakistani sovereignty and it puts the General in a precarious political position:
In a statement, the Foreign Ministry condemned the loss of civilian lives and said it had delivered an official protest to the American ambassador in Islamabad. The information minister, Sheik Rashid Ahmed, said in Islamabad that the government wanted “to assure the people we will not allow such incidents to reoccur,” The Associated Press reported…On Saturday, a Central Intelligence Agency spokesman declined to comment on any raid that might have taken place. The agency is known to operate armed Predator aircraft, but the missions remain classified and are not generally acknowledged by the C.I.A…
President Pervez Musharraf of Pakistan mentioned the attacks during a meeting on Saturday with officials from the town of Sawabi, according to a local reporter. He was quoted as saying: “We are looking into it, as to who has done it. We are looking into it, that there were people who came from outside.”
Thousands of tribesmen, led by a local parliamentarian, protested the killings on Saturday, chanting anti-American and anti-government slogans in the town of Khaar, the central administrative center of Bajaur. [Link]
Just two days ago I watched the MTV documentary Aftershock and was feeling pretty good about the U.S. military’s campaign to win hearts and minds in rural Pakistan where many militants come from. This incident unravels everything. If I were an aid worker in Pakistan right now I would probably start watching my back. When the Bush administration failed to find Osama and his #2 in the year or two following 9/11 they started arguing that these two men weren’t that important and that in reality Al Qaeda the organization had been dealt a crushing blow. At the time most people attributed such excuses to failure, and they probably were just excuses. Now, a few years later, I am beginning to reconsider. It is true that if the airstrike had succeeded we’d all be jumping for joy right now. But it failed. And in failing it has dealt us a major blow in the “War on Terror.” Is one or two men, largely isolated, worth the extreme risk (in terms of losing hearts and minds) that we sometimes take in bagging them? Villagers in the area claim to have seen the Predator overhead for several days. It would only seem logical that al-Zawahri might stay away. I have a strong belief that a patient hand will eventually be able to deliver justice to an evil heart. America should never stop trying to kill Bin Laden and all of his lieutenants. However, I hope someone at the top sees that if you break too many eggs you aren’t going to enjoy your omelet.
See more pictures of protests against America in Pakistan.



