The econ blogosphere is heavily linking a new article in Wired about the economics of Somali piracy. In addition to being a slickly produced piece (including an online game where you can dabble in some "Cutthroat Capitalism" yourself), Wired editor Scott Carney managed to get ahold of a Somali pirate and got unusually candid answers about the $$ and cents of their operation & the details often turn out to be incredibly, well, mundane & rationale.
"Ships with African or Indian crews are never profitable."Far from fashionable excuses that the pirates are avenging illegal offshore fishing or represent some sort of anti-neo-colonial insurgency, the truth of the matter is a pretty basic risk vs. reward calculation -
An ordinary Somali earns about $600 a year, but even the lowliest freebooter can make nearly 17 times that -- $10,000 -- in a single hijacking. Never mind the risk; it's less dangerous than living in war-torn Mogadishu.
...How much does it cost to outfit a mission?
An operation with 12 armed men costs a little over $30,000. But you need to execute three or four missions to get lucky once...The financiers are the most important since they organize and plan the big shot operations and are able to pay running cost[s]. Financiers always need to forge deals with traders, land cruiser owners, translators, business people to keep the supplies flowing during operations and manage the logistics. There is a long supply chain involved in every hijacking.
Implication? A sufficiently strong "Coalition of the Willing" could alter the equation and make piracy more expensive and thus less prevalent. Measures like arming the ships or fining ship owners that pay ransoms might cause some short term pain but, they could alter the long term economics of piracy. That of course, takes some international cojones which I'm not exactly holding my breath for.
There are, of course, several desi angles - first, Desi's are regularly employed as crew for ships within the broader Persian Gulf -
Captain Prabhat Goyal barely noticed when a fishing trawler appeared off his bow. But when it launched two speedboats, he knew he was in trouble. The Stolt Valor, a lumbering tanker carrying a load of phosphoric acid from North Carolina to Mumbai, had a top speed of 15 knots; the pirates closed in at nearly 40. In the time it took Goyal to send a distress call, 12 men with automatic weapons and ladders had already begun climbing aboard. The Valor never had a chance.
Interestingly, Capt Goyal's value to the pirates apparently had far more to do with his cargo than his person. For other desi crews, the secret to their release wasn't the home country's willingness to pay to avoid some short term pain but rather, ability to pay -
How do you pirates decide on what ransom to ask for?
Ships with African or Indian crews are never profitable. We usually release them immediately. If the crew is Western, we've hit the jackpot. But if the ship is from Western country or with valuable cargo like oil, weapons or then its like winning a lottery jackpot.



